Financial news
Home
Knowledge Hub
S&P 500 could see 5% earnings hit from Harris' proposed tax reforms, says Goldman Sachs
2024-09-05 13:53:11

(Reuters) - U.S. Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris' proposed corporate tax hike ahead of the November Presidential elections could lower earnings for companies on the benchmark S&P 500 index by about 5%, analysts at Goldman Sachs said.


Last month, Harris proposed raising the corporate tax rate to 28% from 21% and ensure "big corporations pay their fair share," if she wins the election against Republican rival Donald Trump.


Goldman estimated that at a 28% taxation rate earnings of S&P 500 companies would take a 5% hit.


Adding taxation of foreign income and an increase in the alternative minimum tax rate to 21% from 15% could reduce earnings by as much as 8%, the analysts said.


On the other hand, Trump's proposed relief on the federal statutory domestic corporate tax rate to 15% from the current 21% would "arithmetically" boost S&P 500 earnings by about 4%.


"The current U.S. statutory corporate tax rate on domestic income is 26%, but the total effective tax rate paid by the typical S&P 500 company is 19%," the brokerage added.


Goldman projected with each 1 percentage point change in the U.S. statutory domestic tax rate the shift in S&P 500 earnings per share (EPS) would be slightly less than 1% or about $2 of S&P 500 EPS.


Harris' rise to the top of the Democratic ticket has re-energized a Democratic campaign that had harbored doubts about Joe Biden's chances.


Polls showed that Trump had built a lead over Biden but Harris has since edged ahead of the Republican candidate in some national opinion polls.

CREATE ACCOUNT

×
1
Personal Identification
2
Address Verification
3
Employment & Financial Profile
4
Trading Experience & Risk Awareness
5
Professional Account Eligibility
6
Source of Funds & Compliance
7
Corporate Entity Information
8
Review & Submit

Personal Identification

Please enter a valid email address.
Please enter a valid phone number.
Your password must be 6-20 characters long, contain letters, numbers and special characters, and must not contain spaces or emoji.
Password not match.
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required

Address Verification

This field is required
This field is required
This field is required

Employment & Financial Profile

This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
(excluding property) (USD)
This field is required

Trading Experience & Risk Awareness

This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required

Professional Account Eligibility (Optional)

Source of Funds & Compliance

This field is required

Corporate Entity Information

Complete this section only if you're opening a corporate account

Review & Submit

Please review all information carefully before submitting. You can go back to any step to make changes.
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required

Registration Successful

Your account has been created successfully!