LOGO

Financial news
Home
Knowledge Hub
Rising debt cost to weigh on euro zone GDP - HSBC
2023-09-06 14:25:30

(Reuters) - The growth in euro zone's gross domestic product (GDP) may come under pressure as corporates ease the pace of investments due to higher borrowing costs, HSBC economists said on Tuesday.


The global bank expects rising interest rates to shave off more than 1% of euro zone's GDP by 2025.


HSBC, however, forecast a "smaller impact" to the British economy as a large chunk of corporate debt is now accounted for by 'bounce back' loans - government-guaranteed programs to help struggling small businesses hit by COVID-19 era lockdowns - fixed at the rate of 2.5%.


A recession in Europe is "certainly possible," HSBC said. However, the corporate sector will not tip the euro zone economy into one, as "fairly healthy" balance sheets limit the risk of businesses going bust, it added.


"The impact has been delayed because, while debt costs are rising, firms are also earning more interest on their deposits which ballooned as a result of subsidies during the COVID-19 pandemic," said Chris Hare, the lead senior economist at HSBC.


HSBC points out that fast-growing lending rates matter more to European businesses than their U.S. counterparts, as bank loans make up the vast majority of European corporate debt compared to U.S. companies.


"But 'excess' deposits are waning and we see the bulk of the interest rate headwinds emerging over the rest of this year and next," Hare added.


The euro zone returned to growth in the second quarter of this year, with a greater than expected expansion after narrowly avoiding a technical recession around the turn of the year.

create_account

×
1
personal_identification
2
address_verification
3
employment_financial_profile
4
trading_experience_risk_awareness
5
professional_account_eligibility
6
source_of_funds_compliance
7
corporate_entity_information
8
review_submit

personal_identification

valid_email_address
valid_phone
valid_password
valid_confirm_password
field_required
field_required
field_required
field_required
field_required
field_required
field_required
field_required
field_required

address_verification

field_required
field_required
field_required

employment_financial_profile

field_required
field_required
field_required
field_required
savings_and_investments_excluding_property_help
field_required

trading_experience_risk_awareness

field_required
field_required
field_required
field_required

professional_account_eligibility (optional)

source_of_funds_compliance

field_required

corporate_entity_information

complete_this_section_if_corporate_account

review_submit

review_submit_note
field_required
field_required
field_required

registration_successful

registration_successful_message