Financial news
Home
Knowledge Hub
Deutsche Bank no longer expects U.S. recession in 2024
2024-02-07 07:59:26

(Reuters) - Deutsche Bank no longer expect the U.S. economy to tip into recession this year, given cooling inflation and the labor market returning to a "better balance" without unemployment rising significantly.


The brokerage earlier expected the economy to enter a mild recession as the Federal Reserve tightened interest rates to tame inflation, narrowing the window for a soft landing.


Deutsche Bank said in a note on Monday that it now expects the U.S. economy to grow by 1.9% this year, on a quarterly average basis, compared with its prior forecast of 0.3%.


"Though the economy continues to face several headwinds – namely, still-tight credit conditions, rising consumer delinquency rates and a slowing labor market – the resilience to date points to a more benign slowdown in 2024 than we had previously projected," said Matthew Luzzetti, the brokerage's chief U.S. economist.


Deutsche Bank still expects the Fed to start easing interest rates from June, but now expects 100 basis points (bps) of rate cuts this year, less than its earlier expectation of 175 bps.


The U.S. economy grew a faster-than-expected 3.3% in the fourth quarter, amid strong consumer spending, with growth for the full year coming in at 2.5%, shrugging off dire predictions of a recession after the Fed's aggressive rate hikes.

CREATE ACCOUNT

×
1
Personal Identification
2
Address Verification
3
Employment & Financial Profile
4
Trading Experience & Risk Awareness
5
Professional Account Eligibility
6
Source of Funds & Compliance
7
Corporate Entity Information
8
Review & Submit

Personal Identification

Please enter a valid email address.
Please enter a valid phone number.
Your password must be 6-20 characters long, contain letters, numbers and special characters, and must not contain spaces or emoji.
Password not match.
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required

Address Verification

This field is required
This field is required
This field is required

Employment & Financial Profile

This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
(excluding property) (USD)
This field is required

Trading Experience & Risk Awareness

This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required

Professional Account Eligibility (Optional)

Source of Funds & Compliance

This field is required

Corporate Entity Information

Complete this section only if you're opening a corporate account

Review & Submit

Please review all information carefully before submitting. You can go back to any step to make changes.
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required

Registration Successful

Your account has been created successfully!