Financial news
Home
Knowledge Hub
Dollar droops as bets build for Fed pause, yuan at 6-mth low
2023-06-14 09:13:19

By Kevin Buckland


TOKYO (Reuters) - The dollar fell to near a three-week low to the euro and a one-month low versus sterling on Wednesday, after unexpectedly soft U.S. inflation data cemented the view that the Federal Reserve will skip an interest rate hike later in the day.


China's yuan sagged to a 6-1/2-month trough, continuing its slide after the central bank cut rates on Tuesday, amid speculation even more stimulus is on the way to support the sputtering post-COVID economic recovery.


The dollar index - which measures the currency against six major peers, including the euro and sterling - was little changed at 103.29 in early Asian trading, after dipping to the lowest since May 22 overnight at 103.04.


The U.S. consumer price index (CPI) edged up just 0.1% last month, and notched its smallest year-on-year increase since March 2021 at 4.0%.


That saw bets for a quarter-point hike to U.S. rates later on Wednesday pared to less than 6% currently, from 21% 24 hours earlier, according to the CME Group's (NASDAQ:CME) FedWatch Tool.


"The soft inflation report effectively cements a Fed pause, although I doubt it will be enough to warrant a dovish undertone as it's not in their interest with CPI twice the Fed's target," said Matt Simpson, senior market analyst at City Index, who points to 103 as a key support level for the dollar index.


"Whilst it was enough to send EUR/USD above 1.0800, it wasn't enough to keep it there given a hawkish pause seems quite likely."


The euro was little changed at 1.0791, after reaching a high of $1.08235 on Tuesday. The European Central Bank decides policy on Thursday, with a quarter-point rate hike widely expected.


Sterling edged 0.08% lower to $1.2602, but after soaring 0.8% in the prior session and hitting the highest since May 11 at $1.2625.


The dollar eased 0.16% to 140.02 yen. It rose to the highest since June 5 on Tuesday despite the soft U.S. inflation figures, with the Bank of Japan seen retaining ultra-easy policy settings on Friday.


The Australian dollar was flat at $0.6768, after reaching the highest since May 10 on Tuesday at $0.6807.


The Aussie garnered additional support from the People's Bank of China's decision to cut the seven-day reverse repo rate for the first time in 10 months on Tuesday. China is a key destination for Australia's resource exports.


The next adjustment to rates could come as soon as Thursday, when the central bank is due to roll over 200 billion yuan ($27.93 billion) in medium-term lending facility (MLF) loans.


The yuan weakened slightly and touched 7.1785 per dollar in offshore trading for the first time since Nov. 29.

CREATE ACCOUNT

×
1
Personal Identification
2
Address Verification
3
Employment & Financial Profile
4
Trading Experience & Risk Awareness
5
Professional Account Eligibility
6
Source of Funds & Compliance
7
Corporate Entity Information
8
Review & Submit

Personal Identification

Please enter a valid email address.
Please enter a valid phone number.
Your password must be 6-20 characters long, contain letters, numbers and special characters, and must not contain spaces or emoji.
Password not match.
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required

Address Verification

This field is required
This field is required
This field is required

Employment & Financial Profile

This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
(excluding property) (USD)
This field is required

Trading Experience & Risk Awareness

This field is required
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required

Professional Account Eligibility (Optional)

Source of Funds & Compliance

This field is required

Corporate Entity Information

Complete this section only if you're opening a corporate account

Review & Submit

Please review all information carefully before submitting. You can go back to any step to make changes.
This field is required
This field is required
This field is required

Registration Successful

Your account has been created successfully!